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Marupe vs Leevon PPK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Baumanis R.
Penalty Missed
69' Event
Baturinskis A.
Assist: Liepins L.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Marupe and Leevon PPK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Marupe
20%
Draws
52%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Leevon PPK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leevon PPK's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Leevon PPK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 19
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 1.55 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Leevon PPK
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Marupe
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Marupe
0:0
Jun 14, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Leevon PPK
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Leevon PPK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Baturinskis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 14 / 100
Leevon PPK 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Leevon PPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marupe's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Leevon PPK has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Marupe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Leevon PPK
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
20 Sept
Marupe
0 : 0
Riga FC 2
12 Sept
Marupe
5 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 6

Leevon PPK

(Away)
19 Sept
Leevon PPK
6 : 3
RFS 2
13 Sept
Riga FC 2
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 21 17 3 1 89:17 54
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 21 14 5 2 50:23 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 21 9 2 10 34:32 29
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 21 4 3 14 34:62 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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