Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marupe vs Leevon PPK

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Baumanis R.
Penalty Missed
69' Event
Baturinskis A.
Assist: Liepins L.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Marupe and Leevon PPK finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leevon PPK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Marupe
15%
Draws
61%
Leevon PPK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leevon PPK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Leevon PPK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leevon PPK's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%
Leevon PPK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Leevon PPK
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.44 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Leevon PPK
0:1
Apr 12, 2026 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Marupe
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 1. Liga
Leevon PPK vs Marupe
0:0
Jun 14, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Leevon PPK
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Leevon PPK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leevon PPK Compare

Top Goalscorer Baturinskis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 18 / 100
Leevon PPK 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Leevon PPK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leevon PPK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marupe's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Leevon PPK has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Marupe has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Leevon PPK
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
25 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

Leevon PPK

(Away)
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2
FK Smiltene
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Rezekne
25 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Skanste
18 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 17 14 2 1 48:15 44
2 FK Metta 17 14 2 1 71:14 44
3 Leevon PPK 17 12 3 2 31:20 39
4 Riga Mariners 16 10 5 1 34:15 35
5 Alberts JDFS 17 9 4 4 35:24 31
6 Marupe 18 8 1 9 29:30 25
7 Super Nova 2 18 6 6 6 25:26 24
8 Skanste 17 6 2 9 31:33 20
9 Riga FC 2 16 6 2 8 23:30 20
10 Tukums 2000 2 16 3 3 10 21:45 12
11 RFS 2 17 3 3 11 23:48 12
12 JFK Ventspils 16 2 5 9 18:28 11
13 FK Smiltene 17 2 4 11 21:47 10
14 Rezekne 17 1 2 14 13:48 5
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