Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marupe vs Skanste

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Korsaks K.
Assist: Krievins G.
56' Event
Penka R.
66' Event
Penka R.
Assist: Cevers R.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Marupe and Skanste finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Marupe
15%
Draws
46%
Skanste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Skanste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Skanste haven't matched Marupe's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Skanste taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Marupe Clean Sheet 10%
Skanste Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Skanste
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.45 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 1. Liga
Skanste vs Marupe
4:2
Apr 4, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Skanste
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Skanste
0:1
May 17, 2025 1. Liga
Skanste vs Marupe
1:0
Aug 3, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Skanste
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Penka R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Korsaks K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Skanste Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 22 / 100
Skanste 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Skanste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Skanste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Skanste let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Marupe found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Marupe remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Skanste
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
25 Jul
Rezekne
1 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

Skanste

(Away)
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
25 Jul
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Skanste
18 Jul
Skanste
0 : 3
Valmiera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 17 14 2 1 48:15 44
2 FK Metta 17 14 2 1 71:14 44
3 Leevon PPK 17 12 3 2 31:20 39
4 Riga Mariners 17 11 5 1 37:16 38
5 Alberts JDFS 17 9 4 4 35:24 31
6 Marupe 18 8 1 9 29:30 25
7 Super Nova 2 18 6 6 6 25:26 24
8 Skanste 17 6 2 9 31:33 20
9 Riga FC 2 17 6 2 9 24:33 20
10 Tukums 2000 2 16 3 3 10 21:45 12
11 RFS 2 17 3 3 11 23:48 12
12 JFK Ventspils 16 2 5 9 18:28 11
13 FK Smiltene 17 2 4 11 21:47 10
14 Rezekne 17 1 2 14 13:48 5
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