Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marupe vs Tukums 2000 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marupe in this 1. Liga matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marupe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Marupe
15%
Draws
21%
Tukums 2000 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marupe lately — more wins on the board than Tukums 2000 2.
  • Model gives Marupe a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Marupe have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Marupe Clean Sheet 16%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marupe Tukums 2000 2
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.35 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.65 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 1. Liga
Marupe vs Tukums 2000 2
5:0
May 9, 2026 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Marupe
1:2
Jul 27, 2025 1. Liga
Tukums 2000 2 vs Marupe
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 1. Liga
Marupe vs Tukums 2000 2
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 1. Liga
Marupe vs Tukums 2000 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marupe 39 / 100
Tukums 2000 2 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marupe Tukums 2000 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tukums 2000 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Marupe scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Tukums 2000 2 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marupe VS Tukums 2000 2
1 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marupe

(Home)
29 Aug
Marupe
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
Marupe
0 : 1
Leevon PPK
01 Aug
Skanste
4 : 2
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

Tukums 2000 2

(Away)
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
03 Aug
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 1
Alberts JDFS
27 Jul
FK Metta
9 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 19 15 3 1 56:18 48
2 FK Metta 19 15 3 1 79:16 48
3 Leevon PPK 19 14 3 2 36:21 45
4 Riga Mariners 19 13 5 1 45:17 44
5 Alberts JDFS 19 11 4 4 40:26 37
6 Marupe 19 8 1 10 29:32 25
7 Super Nova 2 20 6 7 7 28:30 25
8 Riga FC 2 19 7 3 9 28:36 24
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 JFK Ventspils 18 2 6 10 20:33 12
12 Tukums 2000 2 18 3 3 12 23:54 12
13 FK Smiltene 19 2 4 13 23:56 10
14 Rezekne 20 1 3 16 16:61 6
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