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MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Pontion Nea Amisos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 game between MAS Ardas Kastanion and Pontion Nea Amisos finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MAS Ardas Kastanion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MAS Ardas Kastanion
25%
Draws
35%
Pontion Nea Amisos
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: MAS Ardas Kastanion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MAS Ardas Kastanion come out ahead of Pontion Nea Amisos on wins alone.
  • Model gives MAS Ardas Kastanion a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 91%
MAS Ardas Kastanion Clean Sheet 20%
Pontion Nea Amisos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MAS Ardas Kastanion Pontion Nea Amisos
Matches Played 1 1
Wins 1 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 0 1
Goals Scored 3 2
Goals Conceded 2 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
MAS Ardas Kastanion vs Pontion Nea Amisos
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MAS Ardas Kastanion 40 / 100
Pontion Nea Amisos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MAS Ardas Kastanion Pontion Nea Amisos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAS Ardas Kastanion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MAS Ardas Kastanion scored in 100% of their last 1 games.

Pontion Nea Amisos let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: MAS Ardas Kastanion remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MAS Ardas Kastanion VS Pontion Nea Amisos
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

MAS Ardas Kastanion

(Home)
10 Oct
MAS Ardas Kastanion
3 : 2
Pontion Nea Amisos

Pontion Nea Amisos

(Away)
10 Oct
MAS Ardas Kastanion
3 : 2
Pontion Nea Amisos

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Xanthi 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Kavala 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Doxa Dramas 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
4 MAS Ardas Kastanion 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
5 Eleftheroupolis 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
6 Sidirochori 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
7 Apollon Paralimniou 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Aetos Ofryniou 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
9 Pontion Nea Amisos 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
10 Thrakis 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 (Losers stage)