Sport Picks
Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro Prediction & H2H Stats
Uzbekistan
Super League Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Alikulov M. In: Muzaffarov N.
Out: Alikulov M.
46'
46'
Sub
Begic D. In: Mamasidikov T.
Out: Begic D.
67'
67'
Abubakar R.
AI Match Summary
Buxoro in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Buxoro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Buxoro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Buxoro have won more games recently than Mashal Muborak.
- Win probability leans Buxoro's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mashal Muborak | Buxoro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 23 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.55 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro
0:1
Dec 5, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro
0:0
May 3, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Mashal Muborak
1:2
Nov 5, 2024 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mashal Muborak Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Buxoro Compare
Top Goalscorer Esanov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mashal Muborak 14 / 100
Buxoro 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mashal Muborak Buxoro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Buxoro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Buxoro conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Buxoro lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Mashal Muborak found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Mashal Muborak VS Buxoro
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mashal Muborak
(Home) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Andijan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Andijan
02 Aug
Mashal Muborak
1 : 3 Sogdiana
22 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 3
Buxoro
(Away) 19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
11 Sept
Buxoro
1 : 4 Navbahor Namangan
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
18 Aug
Buxoro
4 : 1 Neftchi Fargona
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Bunyodkor
2 : 1 Buxoro
05 Sept
Qizilqum
3 : 2 Buxoro
24 Aug
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Buxoro
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2 Buxoro
27 Jul
Andijan
2 : 0 Buxoro
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
