Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League 2025 Markaziy Stadium, Qarshi
Fri, Dec 5, 2025
1 - 0
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Khayrullaev R.
46'
Sub
Murtazoev K. In: Murodov A.
Out: Murtazoev K.
46'
Sub
Alikulov M. In: Akramov Z.
Out: Alikulov M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Mashal Muborak advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mashal Muborak
20%
Draws
51%
Buxoro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buxoro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Buxoro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Buxoro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Buxoro, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 18%
Buxoro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak Buxoro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro
0:1
Dec 5, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro
0:0
May 3, 2025 Super League
Buxoro vs Mashal Muborak
1:2
Nov 5, 2024 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Buxoro
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 36 / 100
Buxoro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak Buxoro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buxoro has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Mashal Muborak scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Mashal Muborak went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mashal Muborak VS Buxoro
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashal Muborak

(Home)
07 Aug
Xorazm Urganch
2 : 0
Mashal Muborak
02 Aug
Mashal Muborak
1 : 3
Sogdiana
27 Jul
OKMK
2 : 1
Mashal Muborak
22 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 1
Nasaf Qarshi
17 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 0
Kokand 1912
Page 1 of 6

Buxoro

(Away)
06 Aug
Pakhtakor
2 : 2
Buxoro
01 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 1
Lok. Tashkent
27 Jul
Andijan
2 : 0
Buxoro
21 Jul
Buxoro
1 : 0
Bunyodkor
16 Jul
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1
Buxoro
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mashal Muborak 1
Buxoro 0
Kokand 1912 2
Xorazm Urganch 1
Final
Buxoro 1
Xorazm Urganch 2