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Mashal Muborak vs Istiklol Fergana

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istiklol Fergana in this Pro Liga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiklol Fergana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mashal Muborak
39%
Draws
30%
Istiklol Fergana
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Istiklol Fergana lately — more wins on the board than Mashal Muborak.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Pro Liga 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 20%
Istiklol Fergana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak Istiklol Fergana
Matches Played 38 41
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 12
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2019 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Istiklol Fergana
2:0
Sep 4, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Mashal Muborak
0:1
Jun 22, 2019 Pro Liga
Mashal Muborak vs Istiklol Fergana
1:2
Apr 24, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Mashal Muborak
1:1
Oct 29, 2018 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Mashal Muborak
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 32 / 100
Istiklol Fergana 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak Istiklol Fergana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Mashal Muborak's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Istiklol Fergana has conceded goals in 44% of their last 41 outings.

Solid form: Mashal Muborak remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mashal Muborak VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185