Sport Picks
Mashal Muborak vs Nasaf Qarshi Prediction & H2H Stats
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Guzor, Guzar 
Match Events
18'
18'
Bosnjak S.
Assist: Fayziev S.
39'
39'
Bakhromov S.
Assist: Abdirakhmatov Z.
46'
46'
Sub
Ibrokhimov F. In: Bumbar D.
Out: Ibrokhimov F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nasaf Qarshi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Nasaf Qarshi have won more games recently than Mashal Muborak.
- Nasaf Qarshi are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mashal Muborak | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 10 |
| Losses | 23 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.55 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Mashal Muborak
1:2
Jun 20, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:3
Oct 2, 2021 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1
Jul 9, 2021 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Mashal Muborak
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mashal Muborak Compare
Top Goalscorer Bosnjak S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Nasaf Qarshi Compare
Top Goalscorer Bakhromov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mashal Muborak Nasaf Qarshi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nasaf Qarshi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Nasaf Qarshi conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Mashal Muborak scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Nasaf Qarshi's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mashal Muborak VS Nasaf Qarshi
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Mashal Muborak
(Home) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Andijan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Andijan
02 Aug
Mashal Muborak
1 : 3 Sogdiana
22 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 3
Nasaf Qarshi
(Away) 20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
09 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
3 : 0 Bunyodkor
04 Sept
Nasaf Qarshi
6 : 2 Neftchi Fargona
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Andijan
1 : 4 Nasaf Qarshi
16 Sept
Al Khalidiyah
0 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
30 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
26 Aug
Qizilqum
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
21 Aug
Navbahor Namangan
1 : 0 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
