Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashal Muborak vs Nasaf Qarshi

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Super League Stadion Guzor
Wed, Jul 22, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mashal Muborak host Nasaf Qarshi in the Super League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Mashal Muborak at 0.5 goals for, 1.75 against; Nasaf Qarshi at 1.13 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Mashal Muborak have won 1 to Nasaf Qarshi's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 8, 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.44) back Nasaf Qarshi to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mashal Muborak
39%
Draws
30%
Nasaf Qarshi
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Nasaf Qarshi have won more games recently than Mashal Muborak.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nasaf Qarshi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 16%
Nasaf Qarshi Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashal Muborak Nasaf Qarshi
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 11
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Mashal Muborak
1:2
Jun 20, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Nasaf Qarshi
1:3
Oct 2, 2021 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Nasaf Qarshi
0:1
Jul 9, 2021 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Mashal Muborak
1:0
Oct 2, 2020 Super League
Nasaf Qarshi vs Mashal Muborak
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashal Muborak 31 / 100
Nasaf Qarshi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashal Muborak Nasaf Qarshi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nasaf Qarshi conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Mashal Muborak's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: Mashal Muborak remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mashal Muborak VS Nasaf Qarshi
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Fargona12101127:431
2Pakhtakor1283123:1327
3Navbahor Namangan1262416:1120
4Buxoro1262416:1320
5OKMK1254317:1619
6Bunyodkor1261514:1419
7Lok. Tashkent1253415:1518
8Nasaf Qarshi1245315:1217
9Andijan1251617:1316
10Termez Surkhon1243513:1915
11Din. Samarkand1242619:2214
12Xorazm Urganch123459:1513
13Qizilqum124179:1713
14Sogdiana1233621:2512
15Kokand 19121225510:1611
16Mashal Muborak1210115:213