Sport Picks
Mashal Muborak vs Sogdiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Guzor, Guzar 
Match Events
5'
5'
Doriev L.
11'
11'
Sub
Ibrokhimov F. In: Choriyev A.
Out: Ibrokhimov F.
48'
48'
Doriev L.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Mashal Muborak and Sogdiana finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sogdiana.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sogdiana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sogdiana carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Sogdiana's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sogdiana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Mashal Muborak Clean Sheet 10%
Sogdiana Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mashal Muborak | Sogdiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 4 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 23 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.55 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Super League
Sogdiana vs Mashal Muborak
5:2
Aug 2, 2026 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Sogdiana
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 Super League
Sogdiana vs Mashal Muborak
2:0
Mar 29, 2025 Super League
Mashal Muborak vs Sogdiana
1:0
Aug 24, 2022 Uzbekistan Cup
Sogdiana vs Mashal Muborak
5:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mashal Muborak Compare
Top Goalscorer Choriyev A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Sogdiana Compare
Top Goalscorer Doriev L.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mashal Muborak 10 / 100
Sogdiana 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mashal Muborak Sogdiana
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sogdiana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sogdiana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Mashal Muborak scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Sogdiana's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Mashal Muborak VS Sogdiana
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mashal Muborak
(Home) 09 Oct
Kokand 1912
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 0 Mashal Muborak
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
26 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 2 Navbahor Namangan
19 Aug
Mashal Muborak
0 : 1 Andijan
02 Aug
Mashal Muborak
1 : 3 Sogdiana
22 Jul
Mashal Muborak
1 : 1 Nasaf Qarshi
Page 1 of 3
Sogdiana
(Away) 20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2 OKMK
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
05 Sept
Sogdiana
5 : 2 Mashal Muborak
30 Aug
Sogdiana
2 : 0 Jayxun
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 6
10 Sept
Xorazm Urganch
0 : 0 Sogdiana
23 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
3 : 0 Sogdiana
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
02 Aug
Mashal Muborak
1 : 3 Sogdiana
27 Jul
Lok. Tashkent
3 : 1 Sogdiana
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
