Sport Picks
Mashal Muborak vs Termez Surkhon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League 
AI Match Summary
Mashal Muborak host Termez Surkhon in the Super League. Termez Surkhon go into this one as the clear favorite. Termez Surkhon have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Mashal Muborak have conceded 1.76 and scored 0.52. Past meetings favor Termez Surkhon slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (0.56 - 1.50) back Termez Surkhon to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Termez Surkhon lately — more wins on the board than Mashal Muborak.
- Win probability leans Termez Surkhon's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mashal Muborak | Termez Surkhon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 23 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.52 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Termez Surkhon conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Mashal Muborak scored in 45% of their last 29 games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Termez Surkhon lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mashal Muborak
(Home)Termez Surkhon
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 56:21 | 55 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 43:22 | 53 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 42:24 | 46 |
| 4 | Buxoro | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:32 | 40 |
| 5 | Lok. Tashkent | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39:30 | 39 |
| 6 | OKMK | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:31 | 39 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 38 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 24:30 | 33 |
| 9 | Din. Samarkand | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 10 | Andijan | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 41:47 | 29 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 19:28 | 28 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24:34 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 20:34 | 23 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 24:40 | 23 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 24 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 11:48 | 4 |
