Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mashujaa vs Azam

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Nado I.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mashujaa
15%
Draws
58%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Azam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Azam a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Azam arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Azam, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 22%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashujaa Azam
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 22
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 3
Goals Scored 0.63 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Mashujaa
2:0
May 17, 2026 Federation Cup
Mashujaa vs Azam
0:1
Mar 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Azam
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Mashujaa
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Azam
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashujaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nado I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 24 / 100
Azam 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashujaa Azam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Azam Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mashujaa scored in 41% of their last 32 outings.

Azam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 31% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mashujaa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mashujaa VS Azam
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashujaa

(Home)
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
27 Aug
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Kagera Sugar
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1
Mashujaa
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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Azam

(Away)
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
31 Aug
Kagera Sugar
0 : 2
Azam
28 Aug
Geita Gold
2 : 2
Azam
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
20 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
TRA United
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba 3
Dodoma Jiji 1
Namungo 0
TRA United 2
Coastal Union 2
Pamba 0
Singida Black Stars 5
Mbeya City 1
Geita Gold 0
Mashujaa 1
Azam 4
Fountain Gate 0
JKT Tanzania 3
Mbuni 0
Young Africans 1
TMA Stars 0
Quarter-finals
Simba 4
TRA United 0
Coastal Union 1
Singida Black Stars 0
Mashujaa 0
Azam 1
JKT Tanzania 0
Young Africans 2
Semi-finals
Simba 4
Coastal Union 0
Azam 3
Young Africans 2
Final
Simba 1
Azam 0