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Mashujaa vs Azam

Tanzania Tanzania

Federation Cup Lake Tanganyika Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Nado I.

AI Match Summary

The Federation Cup game between Mashujaa and Azam finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Mashujaa
28%
Draws
50%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Azam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Azam a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 19.6%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 14%
Azam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashujaa Azam
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 8 22
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.25 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Mashujaa
2:0
May 17, 2026 Federation Cup
Mashujaa vs Azam
0:1
Mar 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Azam
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Mashujaa
2:0
Sep 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Azam
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mashujaa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Nado I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 23 / 100
Azam 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashujaa Azam

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AZA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashujaa's goal record stands at 39% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Azam has conceded goals in 29% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Mashujaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mashujaa VS Azam
0.25 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Simba3
Dodoma Jiji1
Namungo0
TRA United2
Coastal Union2
Pamba0
Singida Black Stars5
Mbeya City1
Geita Gold0
Mashujaa1
Azam4
Fountain Gate0
JKT Tanzania3
Mbuni0
Young Africans1
TMA Stars0
Quarter-finals
Simba4
TRA United0
Coastal Union1
Singida Black Stars0
Mashujaa0
Azam1
JKT Tanzania0
Young Africans2
Semi-finals
Simba4
Coastal Union0
Azam3
Young Africans2
Final
Simba1
Azam0