Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Lake Tanganyika Stadium

Kinondoni MC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mashujaa play Kinondoni MC in the Ligi Kuu Bara. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mashujaa averaged 0.47 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Kinondoni MC averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Mashujaa won 2, Kinondoni MC won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Mashujaa and 1.13 for Kinondoni MC. This points to a Mashujaa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Mashujaa

29%

Draws

20%

Kinondoni MC

Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Mashujaa picked up more points recently compared to Kinondoni MC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 49%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 15%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%

Mashujaa Clean Sheet 21%

Kinondoni MC Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 44%

Second Half Goal 47%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mashujaa	Kinondoni MC
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	7	4
Draws	11	4
Losses	12	25
Goals Scored	0.47	0.7
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Feb 3, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Kinondoni MC vs Mashujaa

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Jun 18, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Dec 12, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Kinondoni MC vs Mashujaa

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

May 8, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mashujaa vs Kinondoni MC

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 50 / 100

Kinondoni MC 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mashujaa Kinondoni MC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Mashujaa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +31.5%

5.26

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mashujaa attacking → ← attacking Kinondoni MC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mashujaa scored in 37% of their last 30 games.

Kinondoni MC let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Mashujaa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kinondoni MC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 16

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9