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Mashujaa vs Pamba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma
Mon, Nov 2, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mashujaa host Pamba in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Little to choose between these two on current form. Pamba have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while Mashujaa have conceded 1.03 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Mashujaa have won 1 to Pamba's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.38, favoring Mashujaa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Mashujaa
20%
Draws
36%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mashujaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mashujaa lately — more wins on the board than Pamba.
  • Win probability leans Pamba's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mashujaa Clean Sheet 17%
Pamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mashujaa Pamba
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Pamba
0:0
Oct 17, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Mashujaa
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 Federation Cup
Mashujaa vs Pamba
0:1
Feb 19, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mashujaa vs Pamba
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Pamba vs Mashujaa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mashujaa 23 / 100
Pamba 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mashujaa Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pamba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pamba let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mashujaa scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mashujaa remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mashujaa VS Pamba
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mashujaa

(Home)
27 Oct
Young Africans
2 : 1
Mashujaa
13 Oct
Simba
6 : 1
Mashujaa
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
04 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Mashujaa
Page 1 of 6

Pamba

(Away)
23 Oct
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 1
Pamba
16 Oct
Fountain Gate
1 : 1
Pamba
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 9 7 1 1 19:5 22
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 JKT Tanzania 10 5 2 3 12:12 17
5 Dodoma Jiji 9 4 3 2 8:5 15
6 Polisi Tanzania 9 3 3 3 12:11 12
7 Namungo 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
8 Mashujaa 9 4 0 5 10:15 12
9 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
10 Mbeya City 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
11 Coastal Union 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
12 Geita Gold 9 2 2 5 10:16 8
13 TRA United 8 1 4 3 6:7 7
14 Pamba 9 1 3 5 10:15 6
15 Kagera Sugar 9 1 3 5 9:17 6
16 Fountain Gate 9 1 3 5 5:13 6
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)