Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Chiatura in this Liga 3 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chiatura.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiatura
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chiatura have won more games recently than Matchakhela.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Chiatura taking it.
- Regular Liga 3 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 15%
Chiatura Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matchakhela | Chiatura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.6 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2018 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Chiatura
0:1
Mar 29, 2018 Liga 3
Chiatura vs Matchakhela
1:0
Apr 8, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Matchakhela vs Chiatura
2:1
Oct 22, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Chiatura vs Matchakhela
2:2
Apr 15, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Matchakhela vs Chiatura
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matchakhela 10 / 100
Chiatura 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matchakhela Chiatura
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chiatura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Matchakhela scored in 74% of their last 35 outings.
Chiatura let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Chiatura lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Matchakhela VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Matchakhela
(Home) 07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8 Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1 Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10 Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1 Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1 Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 7
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8 Guria
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10 Gori
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1 Iberia 1999 2
24 Oct
Matchakhela
1 : 1 Orbi
10 Oct
Matchakhela
1 : 4 Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 4
Chiatura
(Away) 02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1 Chiatura
25 Nov
Chiatura
0 : 0 Spaeri
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0 Chiatura
11 Nov
Chiatura
1 : 1 Gori
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0 Chiatura
Page 1 of 8
02 Dec
Guria
2 : 1 Chiatura
18 Nov
Dusheti
3 : 0 Chiatura
04 Nov
Kolkheti 1913
5 : 0 Chiatura
21 Oct
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 0 Chiatura
08 Oct
FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II
1 : 0 Chiatura
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Zugdidi | 38 | 27 | 3 | 8 | 65:31 | 84 |
| 2 | Bakhmaro Chokhatauri | 38 | 25 | 7 | 6 | 78:40 | 79 |
| 3 | Guria | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 59:31 | 73 |
| 4 | Iberia 1999 2 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 13 | 60:50 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Kolkheti Khobi | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 54:35 | 61 |
| 6 | Borjomi | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 66:56 | 61 |
| 7 | Dusheti | 38 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 64:55 | 61 |
| 8 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 38 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 59:54 | 57 |
| 9 | Gori | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 58:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Betlemi Keda | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | 51 |
| 11 | Samegrelo | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 63:55 | 48 |
| 12 | FC Tbilisi 2025 | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 58:58 | 47 |
| 13 | Chiatura | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 39:47 | 47 |
| 14 | Mark Stars Tbilisi | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 59:65 | 46 |
| 15 | Algeti Marneuli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 54:64 | 46 |
| 16 | Khoni | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:52 | 45 |
| 17 | FC Gardabani | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 39:63 | 39 |
| 18 | Sulori Vani | 38 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 38:77 | 36 |
| 19 | Samgurali II | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 40:82 | 31 |
| 20 | Matchakhela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 35:63 | 28 |
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)
