Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matchakhela vs Gori

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Matchakhela in this Liga 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matchakhela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Matchakhela
30%
Draws
62%
Gori
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gori

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Gori have won more games recently than Matchakhela.
  • Win probability leans Gori's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Matchakhela Clean Sheet 20%
Gori Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matchakhela Gori
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2024 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Gori
0:10
May 30, 2024 Liga 3
Gori vs Matchakhela
5:1
Sep 14, 2023 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Gori
3:2
Apr 21, 2023 Liga 3
Gori vs Matchakhela
3:0
Sep 26, 2018 Liga 3
Matchakhela vs Gori
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matchakhela 10 / 100
Gori 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matchakhela Gori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Matchakhela scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Gori has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Matchakhela stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gori
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Matchakhela

(Home)
07 Dec
Matchakhela
1 : 8
Guria
29 Nov
FC Gardabani
6 : 1
Matchakhela
21 Nov
Matchakhela
0 : 10
Gori
14 Nov
Betlemi Keda
5 : 1
Matchakhela
07 Nov
Matchakhela
1 : 1
Iberia 1999 2
Page 1 of 6

Gori

(Away)
20 Sept
Gori
1 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
16 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
2 : 1
Gori
12 Sept
Gori
2 : 2
Telavi
06 Sept
Odishi 1919
2 : 3
Gori
29 Aug
Gori
3 : 1
Shturmi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dusheti 30 21 5 4 66:21 68
2 Shturmi 30 21 5 4 67:27 68
3 FC Rustavi 30 19 4 7 63:31 61
4 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 19 3 8 54:35 60
5 Meshakhte Tkibuli 30 15 10 5 49:24 55
6 Orbi 30 15 5 10 56:41 50
7 Iberia 1999 2 30 12 9 9 45:26 45
8 Gori 30 13 4 13 46:48 43
9 Guria 30 11 6 13 44:55 39
10 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 10 5 15 50:42 35
11 Borjomi 30 11 2 17 50:78 35
12 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 9 6 15 47:47 33
13 Zestafoni 30 6 11 13 33:46 29
14 Matchakhela 30 8 2 20 38:81 26
15 FC Merani-91 Tbilisi II 30 4 10 16 30:58 22
16 Chikhura Sachkhere 30 2 1 27 23:101 7
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2023 (Relegation)