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Matchedje Mocuba vs Ferroviario Maputo

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola 2022 game between Matchedje Mocuba and Ferroviario Maputo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Matchedje Mocuba
30%
Draws
47%
Ferroviario Maputo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviario Maputo come out ahead of Matchedje Mocuba on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Matchedje Mocuba Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matchedje Mocuba Ferroviario Maputo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2022 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Matchedje Mocuba
3:0
Aug 21, 2022 Mocambola
Matchedje Mocuba vs Ferroviario Maputo
0:0
Oct 30, 2021 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Matchedje Mocuba
1:1
Jul 25, 2021 Mocambola
Matchedje Mocuba vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matchedje Mocuba 36 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matchedje Mocuba Ferroviario Maputo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Matchedje Mocuba's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ferroviario Maputo has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Matchedje Mocuba has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ferroviario Maputo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matchedje Mocuba

(Home)
04 Dec
ENH Vilankulo
3 : 2
Matchedje Mocuba
27 Nov
Matchedje Mocuba
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
20 Nov
Ferroviario Maputo
3 : 0
Matchedje Mocuba
13 Nov
Matchedje Mocuba
3 : 1
Incomati Xinavane
06 Nov
Ferroviario Beira
1 : 1
Matchedje Mocuba
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Ferroviario Maputo

(Away)
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0
UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0
Chingale de Tete
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
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