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Matebele vs BDF XI

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Matebele Logo

Matebele

2 - 1
FT
BDF XI Logo

BDF XI

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Matebele and BDF XI finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matebele.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Matebele
15%
Draws
36%
BDF XI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matebele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Matebele have managed 0.76 goals a game lately — BDF XI are scoring more at 1.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Matebele taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Matebele Clean Sheet 68%
BDF XI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matebele BDF XI
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.76 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Matebele vs BDF XI
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Premier League
BDF XI vs Matebele
2:1
May 24, 2025 Premier League
Matebele vs BDF XI
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
BDF XI vs Matebele
1:3
May 24, 2024 Premier League
BDF XI vs Matebele
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matebele 50 / 100
BDF XI 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matebele BDF XI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matebele Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

BDF XI has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: BDF XI registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Matebele's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Matebele VS BDF XI
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Matebele

(Home)
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
12 May
Matebele
1 : 0
Township Rollers
06 May
Jwaneng Galaxy
0 : 0
Matebele
Page 1 of 6

BDF XI

(Away)
06 Sept
Prisons XI Gaborone
0 : 1
BDF XI
29 Aug
BDF XI
1 : 3
Nico United
23 May
Gaborone Utd
2 : 1
BDF XI
12 May
BDF XI
1 : 2
Centre Chiefs
06 May
BDF XI
0 : 1
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)