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Matebele vs Black Lions

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Matebele Logo

Matebele

0 - 0
FT
Black Lions Logo

Black Lions

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Matebele
15%
Draws
57%
Black Lions
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Black Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Matebele at 0.73 per game, Black Lions at 0.57.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Matebele taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Matebele Clean Sheet 20%
Black Lions Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matebele Black Lions
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.73 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Premier League
Matebele vs Black Lions
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Premier League
Black Lions vs Matebele
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matebele 42 / 100
Black Lions 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matebele Black Lions

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Black Lions conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Black Lions's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Matebele's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Matebele VS Black Lions
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Matebele

(Home)
12 Sept
Enesia
1 : 0
Matebele
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
12 May
Matebele
1 : 0
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 6

Black Lions

(Away)
23 May
Black Lions
2 : 1
Santa Green
13 May
Sua Flamingoes
2 : 1
Black Lions
06 May
Police XI
1 : 0
Black Lions
25 Apr
Black Lions
2 : 1
Calendar Stars
11 Apr
Centre Chiefs
1 : 0
Black Lions
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)