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Matebele vs Calendar Stars

Botswana Botswana

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Matebele and Calendar Stars finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matebele.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Matebele
15%
Draws
42%
Calendar Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matebele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Matebele come out ahead of Calendar Stars on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Matebele taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Matebele Clean Sheet 68%
Calendar Stars Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matebele Calendar Stars
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.76 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
Matebele vs Calendar Stars
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Calendar Stars vs Matebele
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matebele 68 / 100
Calendar Stars 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matebele Calendar Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matebele Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calendar Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Calendar Stars's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Matebele scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Matebele VS Calendar Stars
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Matebele

(Home)
12 Sept
Enesia
1 : 0
Matebele
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
29 Aug
Sua Flamingoes
1 : 0
Matebele
22 May
Matebele
1 : 2
Sua Flamingoes
12 May
Matebele
1 : 0
Township Rollers
Page 1 of 6

Calendar Stars

(Away)
23 May
Tafic FC
3 : 1
Calendar Stars
13 May
Gaborone Utd
5 : 0
Calendar Stars
05 May
Calendar Stars
3 : 0
Extension Gunners
25 Apr
Black Lions
2 : 1
Calendar Stars
15 Apr
Jwaneng Galaxy
3 : 2
Calendar Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gaborone Utd 30 23 5 2 62:15 74
2 Jwaneng Galaxy 30 17 8 5 55:23 59
3 Sua Flamingoes 30 18 5 7 44:30 59
4 Centre Chiefs 30 16 8 6 37:18 56
5 Morupule 30 14 5 11 41:33 47
6 Orapa United 30 12 11 7 35:30 47
7 Township Rollers 30 13 6 11 33:33 45
8 Nico United 30 10 12 8 28:25 42
9 Tafic FC 30 8 11 11 27:26 35
10 Matebele 30 8 9 13 29:37 33
11 Police XI 30 7 11 12 17:29 32
12 BDF XI 30 7 9 14 30:42 30
13 Extension Gunners 30 7 8 15 26:43 29
14 Black Lions 30 7 6 17 17:38 27
15 Santa Green 30 6 4 20 23:58 22
16 Calendar Stars 30 5 6 19 19:43 21
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)