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Matelica vs Fano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Calcagni R.
36'
Valeau L.
57'
Di Renzo A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Matelica
30%
Draws
27%
Fano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matelica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Matelica have won more games recently than Fano.
  • Win probability leans Matelica's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Matelica Clean Sheet 68%
Fano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matelica Fano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 12
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.6 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Fano
0:0
Dec 23, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Fano vs Matelica
1:2
May 1, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Matelica
3:1
Dec 13, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Matelica vs Fano
2:0
May 10, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Matelica
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matelica 59 / 100
Fano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matelica Fano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matelica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Matelica scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Matelica stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Fano has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fano
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Matelica

(Home)
26 May
Renate
1 : 1
Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3
Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1
Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0
Imolese
Page 1 of 6

Fano

(Away)
05 May
Fano
5 : 2
Real Monterotondo
28 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 0
Fano
21 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Fano
14 Apr
Fano
1 : 0
Roma City
07 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 2
Fano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Perugia 38 23 10 5 67:30 79
2 Padova 38 24 7 7 68:26 79
3 Sudtirol 38 21 12 5 66:29 75
4 Modena 38 21 7 10 51:28 70
5 FeralpiSalo 38 17 9 12 54:46 60
6 Triestina 38 15 14 9 48:40 59
7 Cesena 38 15 12 11 51:42 57
8 Matelica 38 16 8 14 59:62 56
9 Sambenedettese 38 14 12 12 43:43 50
10 Mantova 38 12 13 13 47:49 49
11 Virtus Verona 38 11 16 11 43:44 49
12 Gubbio 38 12 12 14 40:45 48
13 Fermana 38 9 15 14 31:44 42
14 Vis Pesaro 38 11 8 19 41:57 41
15 Carpi 38 10 11 17 45:62 41
16 Legnago Salus 38 8 14 16 35:47 38
17 Imolese 38 9 8 21 34:55 35
18 Fano 38 5 18 15 32:47 33
19 Ravenna 38 6 12 20 32:62 30
20 Arezzo 38 5 14 19 37:66 29
Promotion - Serie B 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)