Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
Pessot M.
26'
26'
Leonetti V.
46'
46'
Sub
Mazzolo F. In: Danieli N.
Out: Mazzolo F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group B 2020/2021 game between Matelica and Virtus Verona finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matelica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
55%
35%
10%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Matelica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
55%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Matelica come out ahead of Virtus Verona on wins alone.
- Model gives Matelica a 55% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Matelica Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matelica | Virtus Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 1 |
| Draws | 7 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Matelica vs Virtus Verona
1:0
Nov 1, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Virtus Verona vs Matelica
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matelica Compare
Top Goalscorer Leonetti V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74
Virtus Verona Compare
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matelica 95 / 100
Virtus Verona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matelica Virtus Verona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matelica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Matelica scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Virtus Verona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Matelica stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Virtus Verona's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Virtus Verona
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Matelica
(Home) 26 May
Renate
1 : 1 Matelica
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
19 May
Cesena
2 : 3 Matelica
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Matelica
1 : 1 Renate
09 May
Matelica
3 : 1 Sambenedettese
02 May
Matelica
3 : 0 Imolese
18 Apr
Matelica
0 : 0 Fano
03 Apr
Matelica
1 : 0 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
Virtus Verona
(Away) 07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0 Virtus Verona
29 Jul
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 1 Virtus Verona
22 Jul
Verona
2 : 1 Virtus Verona
25 Apr
Lumezzane
4 : 1 Virtus Verona
19 Apr
Virtus Verona
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0 Virtus Verona
29 Jul
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 1 Virtus Verona
22 Jul
Verona
2 : 1 Virtus Verona
25 Apr
Lumezzane
4 : 1 Virtus Verona
11 Apr
Pergolettese
2 : 2 Virtus Verona
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perugia | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 67:30 | 79 |
| 2 | Padova | 38 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 68:26 | 79 |
| 3 | Sudtirol | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 66:29 | 75 |
| 4 | Modena | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 51:28 | 70 |
| 5 | FeralpiSalo | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 54:46 | 60 |
| 6 | Triestina | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 48:40 | 59 |
| 7 | Cesena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 51:42 | 57 |
| 8 | Matelica | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 59:62 | 56 |
| 9 | Sambenedettese | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:43 | 50 |
| 10 | Mantova | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 47:49 | 49 |
| 11 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 43:44 | 49 |
| 12 | Gubbio | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:45 | 48 |
| 13 | Fermana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 31:44 | 42 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 41:57 | 41 |
| 15 | Carpi | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 45:62 | 41 |
| 16 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 17 | Imolese | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Fano | 38 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 32:47 | 33 |
| 19 | Ravenna | 38 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 32:62 | 30 |
| 20 | Arezzo | 38 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 37:66 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2021/2022 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2020/2021 (Play Out)
