Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matera vs Acerrana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Matera Logo

Matera

1 - 0
FT
Acerrana Logo

Acerrana

Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Baldi L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Matera in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Matera
6%
Draws
4%
Acerrana
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Matera have won more games recently than Acerrana.
  • Win probability leans Matera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%
Acerrana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matera Acerrana
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 26
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Acerrana
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Acerrana vs Matera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matera Compare

Top Goalscorer Baldi L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Acerrana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matera 95 / 100
Acerrana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matera Acerrana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Acerrana let in goals in 89% of their last 35 matches.

Away concern: Acerrana has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Acerrana
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Matera

(Home)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

Acerrana

(Away)
03 May
Acerrana
1 : 2
Manfredonia
26 Apr
Barletta
3 : 0
Acerrana
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Francavilla
4 : 1
Acerrana
02 Apr
Acerrana
2 : 5
Sarnese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)