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Matera vs Palmese 1914

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2024/2025
Matera Logo

Matera

0 - 0
FT
Palmese 1914 Logo

Palmese 1914

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Matera
30%
Draws
23%
Palmese 1914
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Matera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Matera haven't matched Palmese 1914's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Matera a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Matera Clean Sheet 68%
Palmese 1914 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matera Palmese 1914
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.47 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Palmese 1914
0:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs Matera
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 Serie D - Group H
Palmese 1914 vs Matera
3:0
Nov 12, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Matera vs Palmese 1914
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matera 86 / 100
Palmese 1914 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matera Palmese 1914

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matera found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Palmese 1914 has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Solid form: Matera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palmese 1914
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Matera

(Home)
04 May
Matera
2 : 2
Nocerina
27 Apr
ASD Ugento
1 : 4
Matera
17 Apr
Matera
3 : 1
Angri
13 Apr
Matera
2 : 2
Virtus Francavilla
06 Apr
Costa Amalfi
4 : 2
Matera
Page 1 of 6

Palmese 1914

(Away)
27 Sept
Nocerina
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
20 Sept
Palmese 1914
3 : 4
Real Normanna
16 Sept
Francavilla
0 : 1
Palmese 1914
13 Sept
Palmese 1914
0 : 0
Turris
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1
Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Casarano 34 21 11 2 72:30 74
2 Nocerina 34 20 10 4 64:27 70
3 Martina Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:28 62
4 Fidelis Andria 34 16 9 9 41:29 57
5 Citta di Fasano 34 13 11 10 45:32 50
6 Matera 34 12 13 9 51:47 49
7 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 11 11 41:34 47
8 A.C.D. Nardo 34 13 8 13 47:45 47
9 Ischia 34 11 12 11 39:45 45
10 Palmese 1914 34 10 12 12 41:45 42
11 Gravina 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
12 Francavilla 34 11 8 15 28:34 41
13 Acerrana 34 11 8 15 37:50 41
14 ASD Ugento 34 10 7 17 33:51 37
15 Manfredonia 34 8 11 15 33:51 35
16 Brindisi 34 9 14 11 44:43 27
17 Angri 34 6 8 20 35:69 26
18 Costa Amalfi 34 3 11 20 26:62 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 (Play Out)