Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matese vs Aquila Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Banegas P. E.

AI Match Summary

Aquila Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aquila Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Matese
30%
Draws
51%
Aquila Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aquila Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Matese.
  • Model gives Aquila Calcio a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Matese Clean Sheet 19%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matese Aquila Calcio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.6 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Aquila Calcio
0:1
Sep 10, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Matese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Aquila Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Banegas P. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matese 10 / 100
Aquila Calcio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matese Aquila Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Matese scored in 30% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Aquila Calcio conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Matese has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aquila Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Matese

(Home)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Aquila Calcio

(Away)
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2
Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4
Aquila Calcio
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)