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Matese vs Fano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2023/2024
Matese Logo

Matese

0 - 0
FT
Fano Logo

Fano

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Matese
20%
Draws
51%
Fano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fano have won more games recently than Matese.
  • Win probability leans Fano's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Matese Clean Sheet 20%
Fano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matese Fano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 6
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.6 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Fano
0:0
Oct 22, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Matese
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Fano vs Matese
2:1
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Fano
1:0
Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Matese vs Fano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matese 16 / 100
Fano 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matese Fano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fano let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Matese's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Matese went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matese VS Fano
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Matese

(Home)
05 May
Matese
0 : 0
Calcio Chieti
28 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 0
Matese
21 Apr
Matese
0 : 2
Termoli
14 Apr
United Riccione
2 : 0
Matese
07 Apr
Matese
2 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Fano

(Away)
05 May
Fano
5 : 2
Real Monterotondo
28 Apr
Avezzano
2 : 0
Fano
21 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Fano
14 Apr
Fano
1 : 0
Roma City
07 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 2
Fano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campobasso 34 20 10 4 55:29 70
2 Aquila Calcio 34 20 8 6 40:22 68
3 Avezzano 34 17 8 9 50:33 59
4 Sambenedettese 34 15 13 6 57:36 58
5 Roma City 34 14 10 10 56:37 52
6 Atletico Ascoli 34 12 14 8 39:33 50
7 Vigor Senigallia 34 13 10 11 57:50 49
8 Calcio Chieti 34 12 12 10 35:34 48
9 Notaresco Calcio 34 11 12 11 37:38 45
10 Termoli 34 11 10 13 30:36 43
11 Fossombrone 34 8 17 9 28:28 41
12 AS Sora 34 10 11 13 37:37 41
13 Real Monterotondo 34 12 5 17 42:60 41
14 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 7 17 38:55 37
15 United Riccione 34 10 7 17 48:51 37
16 Fano 34 6 14 14 35:49 32
17 Vastogirardi 34 7 8 19 26:51 29
18 Matese 34 6 8 20 20:51 26
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2023/2024 (Play Out)