Sport Picks
Mathare United vs Bidco United Prediction & H2H Stats
Kenya
Premier League 
Match Events
13'
13'
Makwata J.
52'
52'
67'
67'
AI Match Summary
Mathare United in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mathare United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mathare United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mathare United have won more games recently than Bidco United.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Mathare United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Mathare United Clean Sheet 68%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mathare United | Bidco United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.04 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.28 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Mathare United vs Bidco United
3:0
Dec 12, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Mathare United
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Mathare United
2:0
Oct 18, 2024 Premier League
Mathare United vs Bidco United
1:0
May 7, 2023 Premier League
Mathare United vs Bidco United
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mathare United Compare
Top Goalscorer Makwata J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64
Bidco United Compare
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mathare United 68 / 100
Bidco United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mathare United Bidco United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mathare United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mathare United scored in 67% of their last 24 games.
Bidco United has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Mathare United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mathare United VS Bidco United
1.13 Goals Scored 0.43
1 Goals Conceded 1.43
63% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mathare United
(Home) 31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0 Bandari
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1 Mathare United
16 May
Mara Sugar
0 : 1 Mathare United
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2 APS Bomet
02 May
Sofapaka
2 : 2 Mathare United
Page 1 of 5
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0 Bandari
10 May
Mathare United
0 : 2 APS Bomet
25 Apr
Mathare United
1 : 2 Nairobi United
18 Apr
Mathare United
3 : 0 Bidco United
14 Apr
Mathare United
0 : 0 Police FC
Page 1 of 3
Bidco United
(Away) 31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2 Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
24 Apr
Posta Rangers
1 : 1 Bidco United
18 Apr
Mathare United
3 : 0 Bidco United
28 Mar
Bandari
1 : 0 Bidco United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
