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Mathare United vs Police FC

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Mathare United and Police FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mathare United
40%
Draws
29%
Police FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Police FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Mathare United Clean Sheet 68%
Police FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mathare United Police FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 14
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Premier League
Mathare United vs Police FC
0:0
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Mathare United
1:0
Feb 20, 2025 Premier League
Mathare United vs Police FC
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Premier League
Police FC vs Mathare United
2:0
May 14, 2023 Premier League
Police FC vs Mathare United
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mathare United 42 / 100
Police FC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mathare United Police FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mathare United found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Mathare United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Police FC has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mathare United VS Police FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119