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Stadium Background

Matlama vs Lioli FC

Lesotho Lesotho

Premier League 2025/2026 Setsoto Stadium, Maseru
Matlama Logo

Matlama

1 - 0
FT
Lioli FC Logo

Lioli FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Matlama and Lioli FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matlama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Matlama
20%
Draws
38%
Lioli FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matlama

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Matlama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Matlama's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Matlama Clean Sheet 20%
Lioli FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matlama Lioli FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 14
Draws 9 12
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.4 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League
Matlama vs Lioli FC
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Lioli FC vs Matlama
1:2
May 1, 2025 Premier League
Lioli FC vs Matlama
3:3
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Matlama vs Lioli FC
1:0
May 18, 2024 Premier League
Lioli FC vs Matlama
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matlama 58 / 100
Lioli FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matlama Lioli FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matlama Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matlama scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Matlama went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lioli FC let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Matlama VS Lioli FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Matlama

(Home)
05 Sept
Lifofane
1 : 2
Matlama
30 Aug
Matlama
4 : 1
LMPS
23 Aug
Members
0 : 3
Matlama
16 May
Matlama
0 : 1
Lijabatho
09 May
Maroala
0 : 2
Matlama
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Lioli FC

(Away)
15 Sept
Machokha
0 : 5
Lioli FC
05 Sept
Lioli FC
2 : 0
Mzamane
29 Aug
Lioli FC
3 : 2
Linare
22 Aug
Lioli FC
2 : 2
Defence Force
16 May
Members
0 : 0
Lioli FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lijabatho 30 19 8 3 63:18 65
2 Lifofane 30 18 6 6 44:24 60
3 Bantu 30 17 8 5 51:26 59
4 Matlama 30 16 10 4 38:22 58
5 Majantja 30 15 9 6 41:28 54
6 Defence Force 30 13 11 6 40:26 50
7 Lioli FC 30 13 11 6 37:24 50
8 Linare 30 13 7 10 42:31 46
9 LCS 30 12 9 9 32:26 45
10 LMPS 30 6 15 9 29:30 33
11 Manonyane 30 5 10 15 34:53 25
12 Machokha 30 6 6 18 17:39 24
13 LU FC 30 5 8 17 24:48 23
14 Members 30 5 7 18 22:55 22
15 Liphakoe 30 3 12 15 16:40 21
16 Maroala 30 3 5 22 17:57 14
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