Sport Picks
Match Events
47'
47'
da Silva K.
59'
59'
Di Santo
75'
75'
Silva G.
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Matonense and Catanduvense finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matonense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matonense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Matonense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Matonense taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Matonense have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Matonense Clean Sheet 20%
Catanduvense Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matonense | Catanduvense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Paulista B
Catanduvense vs Matonense
0:13
May 9, 2026 Paulista B
Matonense vs Catanduvense
3:1
Jun 8, 2019 Paulista A4
Catanduvense vs Matonense
2:1
Apr 28, 2019 Paulista A4
Matonense vs Catanduvense
2:1
Apr 2, 2017 Paulista A3
Matonense vs Catanduvense
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matonense Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Di Santo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
Catanduvense Compare
Top Goalscorer Silva G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matonense 85 / 100
Catanduvense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matonense Catanduvense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Catanduvense has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.
Catanduvense's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Matonense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Matonense VS Catanduvense
3.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 5.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Matonense
(Home) 18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1 Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
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11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
24 May
Matonense
0 : 2 Independente SP
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Catanduvense
(Away) 20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
14 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 13 Matonense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
24 May
Catanduvense
1 : 5 Santacruzense
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20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
09 May
Matonense
3 : 1 Catanduvense
02 May
Mogi Mirim
2 : 1 Catanduvense
19 Apr
Santacruzense
6 : 0 Catanduvense
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
