Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
da Silva K.
28'
28'
Bruno Santos
90'
90'
Leonardo P.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Matonense in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Matonense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mogi Mirim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Matonense have won more games recently than Mogi Mirim.
- Matonense are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Matonense have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Matonense Clean Sheet 68%
Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matonense | Mogi Mirim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Matonense vs Mogi Mirim
2:1
May 16, 2026 Paulista B
Mogi Mirim vs Matonense
1:3
Feb 28, 2018 Paulista A3
Mogi Mirim vs Matonense
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Matonense Compare
Top Goalscorer da Silva K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Mogi Mirim Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruno Santos
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Matonense 95 / 100
Mogi Mirim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Matonense Mogi Mirim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Matonense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Mogi Mirim's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Matonense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Matonense scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Matonense VS Mogi Mirim
3.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Matonense
(Home) 18 Jul
Flamengo SP
3 : 1 Matonense
11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1 Matonense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
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11 Jul
Matonense
0 : 1 Flamengo SP
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0 Assisense
20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
24 May
Matonense
0 : 2 Independente SP
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Mogi Mirim
(Away) 20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1 Mogi Mirim
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1 Sao Carlos
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20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1 Mogi Mirim
10 May
Santacruzense
1 : 0 Mogi Mirim
18 Apr
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Mogi Mirim
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
