Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matrei vs Bleiburg

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bleiburg in this Karnten 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bleiburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Matrei
17%
Draws
70%
Bleiburg
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Bleiburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Bleiburg have won more games recently than Matrei.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Bleiburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Matrei Clean Sheet 11%
Bleiburg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matrei Bleiburg
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Karnten
Matrei vs Bleiburg
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Karnten
Bleiburg vs Matrei
2:1
Apr 13, 2019 Karnten
Bleiburg vs Matrei
0:6
Aug 28, 2018 Karnten
Matrei vs Bleiburg
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matrei 14 / 100
Bleiburg 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matrei Bleiburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Matrei found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Bleiburg has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Matrei stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Matrei VS Bleiburg
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Matrei

(Home)
05 Jun
SAK Klagenfurt
3 : 0
Matrei
29 May
Matrei
3 : 0
A. Klagenfurt (Am)
22 May
SC St. Veit
2 : 0
Matrei
16 May
Matrei
1 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
14 May
Nussdorf
0 : 1
Matrei
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Bleiburg

(Away)
05 Jun
Bleiburg
1 : 2
Donau Klagenfurt
30 May
Asko Kottmannsdorf
1 : 2
Bleiburg
23 May
Bleiburg
4 : 0
Dellach/Gail
17 May
Volkermarkt
2 : 1
Bleiburg
13 May
Bleiburg
1 : 0
Atus Ferlach
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