Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kofu

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Matsumoto Yamaga host Kofu in the Club Friendly. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Kofu have shipped 0.88 goals a game lately, while Matsumoto Yamaga have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Matsumoto Yamaga have won 1 to Kofu's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.25, favoring Kofu. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Matsumoto Yamaga
20%
Draws
38%
Kofu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Matsumoto Yamaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Kofu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Matsumoto Yamaga's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 19%
Kofu Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matsumoto Yamaga Kofu
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 1 3
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 J2/J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kofu
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
Nov 14, 2021 J2 League
Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
3:2
Apr 17, 2021 J2 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kofu
3:3
Dec 13, 2020 J2 League
Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matsumoto Yamaga 42 / 100
Kofu 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matsumoto Yamaga Kofu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matsumoto Yamaga scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kofu let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Kofu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Matsumoto Yamaga VS Kofu
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Matsumoto Yamaga

(Home)
06 Jun
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 2
Nara Club
31 May
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
24 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
3 : 4
Fukushima United
17 May
Iwaki
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
10 May
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Fujieda MYFC
Page 1 of 6

Kofu

(Away)
06 Jun
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
2 : 1
Kofu
30 May
Vegalta Sendai
1 : 0
Kofu
23 May
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Kofu
16 May
Kofu
2 : 2
Gifu
09 May
Iwaki
0 : 1
Kofu
Page 1 of 6