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Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kofu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Murakami H.
30' Event
Higuchi D.
60' Event
Takano R.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Matsumoto Yamaga and Kofu finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Matsumoto Yamaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Matsumoto Yamaga
15%
Draws
26%
Kofu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Matsumoto Yamaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Matsumoto Yamaga's 1.67 goals per match outpaces what Kofu have produced (1.03).
  • Win probability leans Matsumoto Yamaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Matsumoto Yamaga Clean Sheet 68%
Kofu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Matsumoto Yamaga Kofu
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.67 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kofu
3:0
May 3, 2026 J2/J3 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kofu
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
1:0
Nov 14, 2021 J2 League
Kofu vs Matsumoto Yamaga
3:2
Apr 17, 2021 J2 League
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Kofu
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Matsumoto Yamaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Murakami H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Higuchi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kofu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Matsumoto Yamaga 95 / 100
Kofu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Matsumoto Yamaga Kofu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Matsumoto Yamaga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kofu let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Matsumoto Yamaga found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Matsumoto Yamaga remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Matsumoto Yamaga VS Kofu
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Matsumoto Yamaga

(Home)
03 Oct
Matsumoto Yamaga
0 : 1
Gainare Tottori
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2
Matsumoto Yamaga
18 Sept
Kumamoto
0 : 0
Matsumoto Yamaga
13 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 3
SC Sagamihara
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Kofu

(Away)
10 Oct
Kofu
2 : 1
Tochigi City
03 Oct
Kofu
1 : 2
Toyama
26 Sept
Omiya Ardija
5 : 1
Kofu
23 Sept
Kashima Antlers
3 : 1
Kofu
19 Sept
Kofu
0 : 1
Tokushima
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