Sport Picks
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Thespakusatsu Gunma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Sunpro Alwin, Matsumoto 
AI Match Summary
Matsumoto Yamaga host Thespakusatsu Gunma in the J3 League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Matsumoto Yamaga have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Thespakusatsu Gunma's 1.28 scored and 2.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Matsumoto Yamaga have won 1 to Thespakusatsu Gunma's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 23, 2025, ending 6:2. xG projections (1.38 - 1.00) back Matsumoto Yamaga to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Matsumoto Yamaga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Matsumoto Yamaga a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Thespakusatsu Gunma here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Matsumoto Yamaga | Thespakusatsu Gunma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Thespakusatsu Gunma conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
Matsumoto Yamaga's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Matsumoto Yamaga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Matsumoto Yamaga
(Home)Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ehime | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 24:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kagoshima United | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 5 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 14 |
| 10 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12:19 | 13 |
| 13 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 15 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 17 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
