Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista A4 2019

Maua FC

3 - 1

AA Itarare

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2019 game between Maua FC and AA Itarare finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maua FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Maua FC

20%

Draws

29%

AA Itarare

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maua FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Maua FC carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Maua FC a 51% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Maua FC Clean Sheet 20%

AA Itarare Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maua FC	AA Itarare
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	11
Draws	8	11
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.47	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.04	0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2019 Paulista A4

Maua FC vs AA Itarare

3:1

Jul 14, 2019 Paulista A4

AA Itarare vs Maua FC

1:1

Jun 3, 2018 Paulista A4

AA Itarare vs Maua FC

2:0

Apr 15, 2018 Paulista A4

Maua FC vs AA Itarare

1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maua FC 58 / 100

AA Itarare 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maua FC AA Itarare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maua FC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maua FC scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

AA Itarare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Maua FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maua FC VS -

0.88 Goals Scored 0

0.63 Goals Conceded 0

38% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maua FC

(Home)

04 Jul

Maua FC

0 : 3

Uniao Mogi

27 Jun

Uniao Mogi

2 : 3

Maua FC

20 Jun

Maua FC

6 : 0

Barcelona SP

14 Jun

Itaqua

5 : 1

Maua FC

06 Jun

Maua FC

0 : 0

Uniao Mogi

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AA Itarare

(Away)

20 Aug

Gremio Prudente

2 : 1

AA Itarare

14 Aug

AA Itarare

0 : 3

Gremio Prudente

06 Aug

SKA Brasil

1 : 2

AA Itarare

31 Jul

AA Itarare

0 : 1

Itapirense

24 Jul

AA Itarare

3 : 3

Catanduva FC

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