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Maua FC vs Manthiqueira

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Manthiqueira in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Manthiqueira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Maua FC
39%
Draws
31%
Manthiqueira
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Manthiqueira haven't matched Maua FC's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Maua FC Clean Sheet 11%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maua FC Manthiqueira
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Maua FC
4:2
Apr 18, 2026 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Manthiqueira
3:0
May 24, 2025 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Maua FC
1:3
Apr 20, 2025 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Manthiqueira
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Maua FC
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maua FC 29 / 100
Manthiqueira 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maua FC Manthiqueira

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Manthiqueira has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Maua FC found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Solid form: Maua FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maua FC VS Manthiqueira
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penapolense63215:211
2Francana622211:108
3Jacarei FC61414:47
4Amparo SP62046:106
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vocem63306:312
2Taquaritinga632110:511
3Maua FC61329:66
4Manthiqueira61052:133
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1XV de Jau651011:116
2Uniao Barbarense62135:87
3Tanabi61233:85
4Mauaense61234:65
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SKA Brasil642021:114
2Catanduva FC63219:311
3Independente SP63036:99
4Guarulhos60061:240
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uniao Sao Joao64117:313
2America SP63127:410
3Nacional SP63127:510
4Flamengo SP60151:101
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao-Carlense63309:212
2Rio Branco SP623110:79
3Jabaquara62228:68
4Fernandopolis61053:153