Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Matheus Silva
49'
49'
Campos B.
58'
58'
Matheus Silva
AI Match Summary
Maua FC in this Paulista B matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maua FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maua FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Maua FC have won more games recently than Manthiqueira.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Maua FC Clean Sheet 11%
Manthiqueira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maua FC | Manthiqueira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 36 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 12 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.19 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Maua FC
4:2
Apr 18, 2026 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Manthiqueira
3:0
May 24, 2025 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Maua FC
1:3
Apr 20, 2025 Paulista B
Maua FC vs Manthiqueira
2:1
Jun 1, 2024 Paulista B
Manthiqueira vs Maua FC
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Maua FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Matheus Silva
2 Goals Assists Leader Campos B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Manthiqueira Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maua FC 29 / 100
Manthiqueira 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maua FC Manthiqueira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maua FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Manthiqueira conceded in 83% of 36 recent games.
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Maua FC scored in 73% of their last 37 games.
Maua FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maua FC VS Manthiqueira
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Maua FC
(Home) 04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3 Uniao Mogi
27 Jun
Uniao Mogi
2 : 3 Maua FC
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0 Barcelona SP
14 Jun
Itaqua
5 : 1 Maua FC
06 Jun
Maua FC
0 : 0 Uniao Mogi
Page 1 of 8
04 Jul
Maua FC
0 : 3 Uniao Mogi
20 Jun
Maua FC
6 : 0 Barcelona SP
06 Jun
Maua FC
0 : 0 Uniao Mogi
30 May
Maua FC
1 : 1 Mauaense
09 May
Maua FC
1 : 1 Itaqua
Page 1 of 4
Manthiqueira
(Away) 05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
27 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Jose Bonifacio EC
20 Jun
Manthiqueira
2 : 1 Mauaense
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
06 Jun
Manthiqueira
0 : 2 Itaqua
Page 1 of 8
05 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 1 Manthiqueira
14 Jun
Barcelona SP
1 : 5 Manthiqueira
31 May
Uniao Mogi
1 : 0 Manthiqueira
16 May
Mauaense
2 : 2 Manthiqueira
03 May
Itaqua
2 : 0 Manthiqueira
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
