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Mauritania U20 vs Libya U20

World World

Arab Cup U20 2012
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Libya U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mauritania U20
15%
Draws
0%
Libya U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mauritania U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Libya U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mauritania U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Libya U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libya U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Mauritania U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Libya U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritania U20 Libya U20
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.09 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.01 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2012 Arab Cup U20
Mauritania U20 vs Libya U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania U20 85 / 100
Libya U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritania U20 Libya U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Libya U20 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Mauritania U20 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).

Libya U20 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Mauritania U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauritania U20 VS Libya U20
1.63 Goals Scored 0.4
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.4
88% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritania U20

(Home)
30 Jul
Mauritania U20
1 : 2
Morocco U20
28 Jul
Mauritania U20
1 : 0
Levante U20
26 Jul
Mauritania U20
1 : 2
Elche U20
24 Jul
Mauritania U20
2 : 1
Valencia U20
22 Jul
Castellon U20
0 : 3
Mauritania U20
Page 1 of 7

Libya U20

(Away)
26 Nov
Algeria U20
4 : 0
Libya U20
23 Nov
Morocco U20
4 : 0
Libya U20
20 Nov
Libya U20
1 : 2
Egypt U20
14 Nov
Libya U20
1 : 2
Tunisia U20
13 Nov
Libya U20
0 : 6
Morocco U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
3 Kuwait U20 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Jordan U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 2012 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria U20 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Libya U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Mauritania U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Qatar U20 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 2012 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U20 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Syria U20 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Morocco U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Iraq U20 3 0 1 2 6:9 1
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 2012 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams