Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya, Nouakchott

Mauritania

1 - 0

Cape Verde

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Costa L.

45'

Soueid M.

46'

Sub

Moreira S. In: Pina W.

Out: Moreira S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mauritania in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Mauritania

35%

Draws

39%

Cape Verde

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cape Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Cape Verde lately — more wins on the board than Mauritania.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Cape Verde arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Mauritania, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Mauritania Clean Sheet 68%

Cape Verde Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mauritania	Cape Verde
Matches Played	26	29
Wins	6	13
Draws	10	7
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	0.62	1.34
Goals Conceded	1	1.03
Expected Goals (xG)	0.81	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Mauritania vs Cape Verde

1:0

Sep 10, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Cape Verde vs Mauritania

2:0

Jan 29, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Cape Verde vs Mauritania

1:0

Aug 3, 2019 African Nations Championship

Mauritania vs Cape Verde

2:1

Jul 27, 2019 African Nations Championship

Cape Verde vs Mauritania

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mauritania Compare

Top Goalscorer Soueid M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.62

Avg xA / game 0.41

Cape Verde Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania 42 / 100

Cape Verde 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mauritania Cape Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mauritania scored in 50% of their last 26 outings.

Cape Verde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Mauritania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauritania VS Cape Verde

0.38 Goals Scored 1.63

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

38% Over 1.5 75%

13% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritania

(Home)

08 Jun

Niger

0 : 1

Mauritania

05 Jun

Angola

1 : 1

Mauritania

27 Mar

Argentina

2 : 1

Mauritania

25 Nov

Mauritania

0 : 2

Kuwait

15 Nov

Libya

1 : 0

Mauritania

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Cape Verde

(Away)

03 Jul

Argentina

3 : 2

Cape Verde

27 Jun

Cape Verde

0 : 0

Saudi Arabia

21 Jun

Uruguay

2 : 2

Cape Verde

15 Jun

Spain

0 : 0

Cape Verde

06 Jun

Cape Verde

3 : 0

Bermuda

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