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Mauritania vs Kuwait

World World

FIFA Arab Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Daham M.
24' Event
El Abd N.
Own Goal
32'
Al Enezi H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mauritania
30%
Draws
39%
Kuwait
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kuwait

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Mauritania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Mauritania taking it.
  • Mauritania have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kuwait, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Mauritania Clean Sheet 68%
Kuwait Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritania Kuwait
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 7 3
Draws 10 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.67 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 FIFA Arab Cup
Mauritania vs Kuwait
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mauritania Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Kuwait Compare

Top Goalscorer Daham M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania 68 / 100
Kuwait 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritania Kuwait

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mauritania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kuwait let in goals in 96% of their last 25 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Mauritania's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Mauritania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauritania VS Kuwait
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritania

(Home)
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
15 Nov
Libya
1 : 0
Mauritania
Page 1 of 6

Kuwait

(Away)
05 Jun
Thailand
2 : 2
Kuwait
09 Dec
United Arab Emirates
3 : 1
Kuwait
06 Dec
Kuwait
1 : 3
Jordan
02 Dec
Egypt
1 : 1
Kuwait
25 Nov
Mauritania
0 : 2
Kuwait
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Oman 1
Somalia 0
Bahrain 1
Djibouti 0
Syria 2
South Sudan 0
Palestine 1
Libya 0
Lebanon 1
Sudan 2
Kuwait 2
Mauritania 0
Yemen 4
Comoros 5