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Mauritania W vs Mali W Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
14' Event
26' Event

AI Match Summary

Mali W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mali W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mauritania W
30%
Draws
23%
Mali W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mauritania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Mali W have won more games recently than Mauritania W.
  • 23% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mauritania W Clean Sheet 13%
Mali W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritania W Mali W
Matches Played 8 30
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 8
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Mauritania W vs Mali W
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritania W 35 / 100
Mali W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritania W Mali W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mali W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Mali W let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Mauritania W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mauritania W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (8 games).

Scoring Trends

Mauritania W VS Mali W
2.33 Goals Scored 0.63
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 25%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritania W

(Home)
16 Apr
Turks and Caicos Islands W
0 : 6
Mauritania W
12 Apr
Pakistan W
0 : 1
Mauritania W
09 Apr
Ivory Coast W
8 : 0
Mauritania W
26 May
Mauritania W
2 : 0
Guinea Bissau W
24 May
Mauritania W
1 : 1
Liberia W
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Mali W

(Away)
06 Aug
Mali W
1 : 1
Ghana W
02 Aug
Mali W
3 : 2
Cape Verde W
29 Jul
Cameroon W
2 : 1
Mali W
20 Jul
Mali W
0 : 1
Ivory Coast W
07 Jun
Burkina Faso W
2 : 2
Mali W
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