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Stadium Background

Mauritius U23 vs Zimbabwe U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. This leg finished 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mauritius U23
15%
Draws
85%
Zimbabwe U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zimbabwe U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zimbabwe U23 lately — more wins on the board than Mauritius U23.
  • Model gives Zimbabwe U23 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Zimbabwe U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zimbabwe U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Mauritius U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Zimbabwe U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mauritius U23 Zimbabwe U23
Matches Played 4 9
Wins 0 4
Draws 0 2
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mauritius U23 vs Zimbabwe U23
1:4
Sep 30, 2026 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Zimbabwe U23 vs Mauritius U23
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mauritius U23 10 / 100
Zimbabwe U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mauritius U23 Zimbabwe U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zimbabwe U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Mauritius U23 found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (4 games).

Zimbabwe U23 has conceded goals in 44% of their last 9 outings.

Zimbabwe U23's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mauritius U23 VS Zimbabwe U23
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mauritius U23

(Home)
06 Oct
Mauritius U23
1 : 4
Zimbabwe U23
30 Sept
Zimbabwe U23
2 : 0
Mauritius U23
27 Sept
Mauritius U23
1 : 2
Mozambique U23
24 Sept
Mozambique U23
3 : 0
Mauritius U23

Zimbabwe U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Mauritius U23
1 : 4
Zimbabwe U23
30 Sept
Zimbabwe U23
2 : 0
Mauritius U23
10 Sept
Zimbabwe U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
06 Sept
South Africa U23
5 : 0
Zimbabwe U23
26 Mar
Zimbabwe U23
2 : 0
Mozambique U23
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
D.R. Congo U23 2
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Niger U23 -
Togo U23 2
Libya U23 4
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 2
Benin U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 5
Tanzania U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Djibouti U23 2
South Sudan U23 4
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 4
Sudan U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 6
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Congo U23 -
Seychelles U23 2
Botswana U23 4
TBD -
Guinea U23 -
Malawi U23 1
Eswatini U23 2
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 6
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Semi-finals
Burkina Faso U23 -
Zambia U23 -
D.R. Congo U23 -
Nigeria U23 -
Equatorial Guinea U23 -
Niger U23 -
Libya U23 -
Ghana U23 -
Tunisia U23 -
Gabon U23 -
Kenya U23 -
Ivory Coast U23 -
South Sudan U23 -
Senegal U23 -
Ethiopia U23 -
Morocco U23 -
Rwanda U23 -
Cameroon U23 -
Madagascar U23 -
South Africa U23 -
Angola U23 -
Congo U23 -
Botswana U23 -
Guinea U23 -
Eswatini U23 -
Algeria U23 -
Zimbabwe U23 -
Mali U23 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -