Sport Picks

World

Viareggio Cup 2023

Jovenes Promesas U19

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mavlon U19 enters this Viareggio Cup 2023 fixture as the clear favorite, carrying a strong win probability of 74%. Mavlon U19 averages 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded in recent matches. Jovenes Promesas U19 shows a form average of 0.4 goals scored and 3.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Mavlon U19, 0 wins for Jovenes Promesas U19, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 15.02.24 ended in a 1:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.69 for Mavlon U19 and 0.88 for Jovenes Promesas U19, suggesting the primary value lies in the Mavlon U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%

Mavlon U19

15%

Draws

11%

Jovenes Promesas U19

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mavlon U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Mavlon U19 picked up more points recently compared to Jovenes Promesas U19.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.69 vs 0.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 54%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Mavlon U19 Clean Sheet 25%

Jovenes Promesas U19 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mavlon U19	Jovenes Promesas U19
Matches Played	10	9
Wins	6	0
Draws	0	0
Losses	4	9
Goals Scored	1.8	0.44
Goals Conceded	1.2	3.33
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	3.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

15.02.24 Viareggio Cup

Jovenes Promesas U19 vs Mavlon U19

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

21.03.23 Viareggio Cup

Mavlon U19 vs Jovenes Promesas U19

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

3:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Mavlon U19

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)

Attacking Style Keep the ball

Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Jovenes Promesas U19

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mavlon U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Omale I.

2 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Jovenes Promesas U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A

0 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mavlon U19 72 / 100

Jovenes Promesas U19 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mavlon U19 Jovenes Promesas U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mavlon U19 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Mavlon U19 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.5%

1.52

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.1%

1.19

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Mavlon U19 is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.

Mavlon U19 81%

Jovenes Promesas U19 9%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

Jovenes Promesas U19 will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Mavlon U19's attacks.

Mavlon U19 70%

Jovenes Promesas U19 12%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

Expect Mavlon U19 to create chances through sustained possession before the break.

Mavlon U19 74%

Jovenes Promesas U19 11%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Mavlon U19 vary their attacking width.

Mavlon U19 78%

Jovenes Promesas U19 10%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

Fatigue may set in for Jovenes Promesas U19, allowing Mavlon U19's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.

Mavlon U19 67%

Jovenes Promesas U19 12%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

Expect a final offensive push from Mavlon U19, while Jovenes Promesas U19 takes risks to salvage a result.

Mavlon U19 85%

Jovenes Promesas U19 13%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mavlon U19 attacking → ← attacking Jovenes Promesas U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mavlon U19 have found the net in 70% of their last 10 matches.

Jovenes Promesas U19 have conceded at least one goal in 100% of their last 9 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Mavlon U19 remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Jovenes Promesas U19 suffered defeat in 5 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 0

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sassuolo U19	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Carrarese U19	3	1	2	0	4:2	5
3	Olympique Thiessois U19	3	1	1	1	2:3	4
4	Rukh Lviv U19	3	0	0	3	0:5	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Torino U19	3	2	1	0	15:1	7
2	US Pontedera U19	3	1	1	1	5:10	4
3	Don Torcuato U19	3	0	3	0	3:3	3
4	APIA Tigers U19	3	0	1	2	4:13	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Empoli U19	3	3	0	0	7:2	9
2	Benevento U19	3	2	0	1	13:4	6
3	San Donato Tavarnelle U19	3	0	1	2	4:7	1
4	Westchester U19	3	0	1	2	3:14	1
5	Berekum Freedom Fighters U19	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Honved U19	3	2	1	0	6:4	7
2	Pisa U19	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
3	Spal U19	3	1	1	1	3:3	4
4	Kallon U19	3	0	1	2	6:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Fiorentina U19	3	3	0	13:1	9
2	Monterosi U19	3	2	1	4:4	6
3	Seravezza Pozzi U19	3	1	2	3:7	3
4	Euro New York U19	3	0	3	3:11	0
5	Kakawa U19	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Sampdoria U19	3	3	0	13:2	9
2	Grosseto U19	3	2	1	6:4	6
3	Arezzo U19	3	1	2	3:7	3
4	UYSS New York U19	3	0	3	0:9	0
5	Nkoranza Warriors U19	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Bologna U19	3	3	0	12:0	9
2	Mavlon U19	3	2	1	6:3	6
3	Atromitos U19	3	1	2	2:8	3
4	Jovenes Promesas U19	3	0	3	1:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Serie D team U19	3	2	0	1	8:3	6
2	Sport Recife U19	3	1	1	1	5:4	4
3	Imolese U19	3	1	1	1	4:6	4
4	Ladegbuwa U19	3	1	0	2	3:7	3