Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maxaquene vs Costa do Sol

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola Estádio do Maxaquene, Maputo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mocambola game between Maxaquene and Costa do Sol finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Costa do Sol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Maxaquene
20%
Draws
69%
Costa do Sol
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Costa do Sol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Costa do Sol carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Costa do Sol's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 20%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maxaquene Costa do Sol
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.66 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Costa do Sol
1:4
Aug 31, 2019 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Costa do Sol
0:0
May 4, 2019 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Maxaquene
1:0
Jul 8, 2018 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Costa do Sol
1:0
Mar 3, 2018 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Maxaquene
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maxaquene 16 / 100
Costa do Sol 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maxaquene Costa do Sol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Costa do Sol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maxaquene scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Costa do Sol let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Maxaquene stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maxaquene VS Costa do Sol
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maxaquene

(Home)
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
21 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 0
Maxaquene
18 Aug
AD Pemba
1 : 0
Maxaquene
Page 1 of 6

Costa do Sol

(Away)
16 Sept
Chingale de Tete
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
30 Aug
Costa do Sol
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
26 Aug
Costa do Sol
3 : 0
Associacao Black Bulls
22 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 1
Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 18 12 5 1 27:9 41
2 Costa do Sol 18 10 4 4 24:11 34
3 Ferroviario Beira 18 9 7 2 23:12 34
4 Ferroviario Lichinga 17 8 4 5 16:13 28
5 Ferroviario Nampula 17 8 4 5 19:21 28
6 UD Songo 17 5 10 2 16:13 25
7 Ferroviario Maputo 18 6 5 7 13:11 23
8 ENH Vilankulo 17 4 8 5 19:16 20
9 Ferroviario Nacala 17 5 5 7 8:12 20
10 Baia de Pemba 17 4 7 6 9:12 19
11 Sofala 18 4 6 8 8:18 18
12 AD Pemba 17 5 2 10 9:19 17
13 Maxaquene 17 1 7 9 8:19 10
14 Chingale de Tete 18 1 6 11 4:17 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)