Sport Picks
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Maputo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola Estádio do Maxaquene, Maputo 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
9%
30%
61%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Maputo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Ferroviario Maputo have won more games recently than Maxaquene.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Ferroviario Maputo taking it.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 25%
Ferroviario Maputo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maxaquene | Ferroviario Maputo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Maputo
2:2
May 13, 2026 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Maxaquene
1:0
Dec 8, 2019 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Maputo
1:0
Aug 10, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Maxaquene
3:1
Jul 15, 2018 Mocambola
Ferroviario Maputo vs Maxaquene
2:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maxaquene 10 / 100
Ferroviario Maputo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maxaquene Ferroviario Maputo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Maputo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Maxaquene found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Ferroviario Maputo has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.
Maxaquene went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Maxaquene VS Ferroviario Maputo
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Maxaquene
(Home) 22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0 Maxaquene
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0 Maxaquene
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
10 Aug
Maxaquene
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
07 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 1 Ferroviario Nampula
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Ferroviario Maputo
(Away) 08 Oct
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 ENH Vilankulo
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 UD Songo
30 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
14 Aug
Ferroviario Nacala
1 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | AD Pemba | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10:19 | 20 |
| 11 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 12 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
