Sport Picks
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Nampula - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola Estádio do Maxaquene, Maputo 
AI Match Summary
Ferroviario Nampula in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ferroviario Nampula.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ferroviario Nampula
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ferroviario Nampula lately — more wins on the board than Maxaquene.
- Win probability leans Ferroviario Nampula's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 25%
Ferroviario Nampula Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Maxaquene | Ferroviario Nampula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Nampula
0:1
Sep 29, 2019 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Maxaquene
0:0
Jun 22, 2019 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Nampula
4:1
Jul 28, 2018 Mocambola
Ferroviario Nampula vs Maxaquene
2:1
Mar 31, 2018 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Ferroviario Nampula
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Maxaquene 29 / 100
Ferroviario Nampula 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Maxaquene Ferroviario Nampula
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ferroviario Nampula Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Maxaquene scored in 50% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Ferroviario Nampula conceded in 59% of 27 recent games.
Solid form: Maxaquene remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Maxaquene VS Ferroviario Nampula
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Maxaquene
(Home) 22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0 Maxaquene
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0 Maxaquene
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2 Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0 Sofala
25 Aug
Maxaquene
2 : 2 Ferroviario Maputo
10 Aug
Maxaquene
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
07 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 1 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 4
Ferroviario Nampula
(Away) 13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
30 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
18 Aug
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 1 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Ferroviario Lichinga
3 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
26 Aug
AD Pemba
2 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
11 Aug
Costa do Sol
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
07 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 1 Ferroviario Nampula
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 26:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:13 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 5 | UD Songo | 19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 21:15 | 28 |
| 6 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 16:13 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Nampula | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 19:21 | 28 |
| 8 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8:12 | 20 |
| 10 | Baia de Pemba | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 9:12 | 19 |
| 11 | Sofala | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 8:19 | 18 |
| 12 | AD Pemba | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 9:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 5:17 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
