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Maxaquene vs Sofala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola Estádio do Maxaquene, Maputo
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Maxaquene
20%
Draws
0%
Sofala
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maxaquene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Maxaquene average 0.53 goals a game right now, well clear of Sofala's 0.48.
  • 80% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
Maxaquene Clean Sheet 68%
Sofala Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maxaquene Sofala
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 4 4
Draws 11 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.53 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Mocambola
Maxaquene vs Sofala
0:0
May 24, 2026 Mocambola
Sofala vs Maxaquene
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maxaquene 41 / 100
Sofala 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maxaquene Sofala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maxaquene Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sofala's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Maxaquene scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Sofala let in goals in 57% of their last 21 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Maxaquene VS Sofala
0.5 Goals Scored 0.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maxaquene

(Home)
12 Oct
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Ferroviario Lichinga
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
Chingale de Tete
1 : 0
Maxaquene
03 Sept
Maxaquene
1 : 2
Ferroviario Beira
29 Aug
Maxaquene
0 : 0
Sofala
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Sofala

(Away)
13 Oct
Ferroviario Nampula
2 : 0
Sofala
10 Oct
Ferroviario Nacala
3 : 2
Sofala
20 Sept
Sofala
0 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
15 Sept
Sofala
0 : 2
Ferroviario Maputo
02 Sept
Costa do Sol
1 : 0
Sofala
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 20 13 6 1 30:11 45
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 21 9 7 5 23:17 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 19 10 4 5 23:21 34
5 UD Songo 21 7 10 4 22:16 31
6 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
7 Ferroviario Lichinga 19 8 5 6 16:15 29
8 Ferroviario Nacala 19 7 5 7 13:14 26
9 Baia de Pemba 19 5 7 7 11:14 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 19 4 9 6 21:19 21
11 AD Pemba 19 6 2 11 10:20 20
12 Sofala 21 4 6 11 10:24 18
13 Chingale de Tete 21 3 6 12 7:19 15
14 Maxaquene 20 1 8 11 8:24 11
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