Sport Picks

Cuba

Liga Nacional

Mayabeque Guines

1 - 1

Matanzas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Mayabeque Guines and Matanzas finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Mayabeque Guines

40%

Draws

29%

Matanzas

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Matanzas carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Liga Nacional form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%

Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 14%

Matanzas Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mayabeque Guines	Matanzas
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	3	8
Draws	4	6
Losses	21	15
Goals Scored	0.75	1
Goals Conceded	2.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga Nacional

Mayabeque Guines vs Matanzas

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

May 3, 2025 Liga Nacional

Matanzas vs Mayabeque Guines

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Apr 19, 2025 Liga Nacional

Mayabeque Guines vs Matanzas

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Mar 8, 2025 Liga Nacional

Matanzas vs Mayabeque Guines

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

4:1

Mar 1, 2023 Liga Nacional

Matanzas vs Mayabeque Guines

Possession: 52% - 58% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mayabeque Guines 31 / 100

Matanzas 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mayabeque Guines Matanzas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Matanzas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Matanzas's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Mayabeque Guines scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Mayabeque Guines VS Matanzas

0.75 Goals Scored 1

2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 38%

38% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC La Habana	11	7	3	1	21:12	24
2	Artemisa	12	4	4	4	18:19	16
3	Isla de La Juventud	11	3	2	6	10:16	11
4	Pinar del Rio	10	2	3	5	11:13	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Cienfuegos	12	6	4	2	20:11	22
2	FC Villa Clara	12	6	4	2	16:7	22
3	Matanzas	12	3	3	6	10:13	12
4	Mayabeque Guines	12	2	3	7	11:26	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Las Tunas	12	7	1	4	20:13	22
2	FC Ciego de Avila	12	6	2	4	16:9	20
3	FC Camaguey	11	5	2	4	17:14	17
4	FC Sancti Spiritus	11	1	3	7	3:20	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Guantanamo	12	8	3	1	25:6	27
2	FC Santiago de Cuba	11	4	3	4	12:11	15
3	FC Holguin	12	3	4	5	12:19	13
4	CF Granma	11	2	2	7	9:22	8