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Maykop vs Alania 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Abdullaev G.
85' Event
Abdullaev G.
90' Event
Abdullaev I.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 2024 game between Maykop and Alania 2 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maykop.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Maykop
15%
Draws
0%
Alania 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maykop

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Alania 2 haven't matched Maykop's recent run of results.
  • Maykop are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Maykop Clean Sheet 20%
Alania 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maykop Alania 2
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 21 4
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 1.58 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs Alania 2
3:0
Jun 18, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Maykop
2:2
May 7, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Maykop vs Alania 2
1:2
Apr 1, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Maykop vs Alania 2
1:0
Sep 25, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Alania 2 vs Maykop
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maykop Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdullaev G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Abdullaev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Alania 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maykop 85 / 100
Alania 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maykop Alania 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maykop Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maykop scored in 84% of their last 38 outings.

Defensive concern: Alania 2 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Alania 2 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Maykop VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maykop

(Home)
03 Oct
Maykop
4 : 0
Izberbash
27 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
3 : 0
Maykop
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
Page 1 of 8

Alania 2

(Away)
16 Nov
KDV Tomsk
6 : 2
Alania 2
09 Nov
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1
Alania 2
26 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 1
Angust Nazran
19 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0
Alania 2
12 Oct
Alania 2
0 : 5
Nart Cherkessk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forte Taganrog 32 22 5 5 68:30 71
2 Rubin Yalta 32 20 4 8 48:26 64
3 Dynamo Stavropol 32 18 9 5 54:31 63
4 Legion Makhachkala 32 18 6 8 57:26 60
5 Rostov 2 32 19 3 10 57:33 60
6 FC Sevastopol 32 17 7 8 47:30 58
7 KDV Tomsk 32 13 9 10 44:34 48
8 Astrakhan 32 14 5 13 40:42 47
9 Nart Cherkessk 32 13 5 14 43:47 44
10 Maykop 32 13 3 16 41:42 42
11 Angust Nazran 32 8 14 10 22:27 38
12 Kuban Kholding 32 9 10 13 29:37 37
13 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 7 15 47:50 37
14 FK Pobeda 32 7 9 16 36:49 30
15 Biolog 32 8 6 18 41:56 30
16 Alania 2 32 4 5 23 24:87 17
17 Dynamo Makhachkala 2 32 3 5 24 19:70 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Fall Season)