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Maykop vs FC Sevastopol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Khakhov T.
15' Event
Zubavlenko V.
36' Event
Ivanov D.

AI Match Summary

FC Sevastopol in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Sevastopol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Maykop
15%
Draws
51%
FC Sevastopol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Sevastopol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Sevastopol have won more games recently than Maykop.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • FC Sevastopol have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Maykop Clean Sheet 19%
FC Sevastopol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maykop FC Sevastopol
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 21
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.31 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs FC Sevastopol
1:3
May 30, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Maykop
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
FC Sevastopol vs Maykop
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs FC Sevastopol
3:4
Aug 31, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs FC Sevastopol
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maykop Compare

Top Goalscorer Khakhov T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Sevastopol Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivanov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zubavlenko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maykop 36 / 100
FC Sevastopol 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maykop FC Sevastopol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Sevastopol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Maykop scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Maykop stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

FC Sevastopol let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maykop VS FC Sevastopol
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maykop

(Home)
10 Oct
Rostov 2
0 : 0
Maykop
03 Oct
Maykop
4 : 0
Izberbash
27 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
3 : 0
Maykop
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Nart Cherkessk
0 : 1
Maykop
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FC Sevastopol

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
26 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 1
FC Sevastopol
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
05 Sept
FC Sevastopol
2 : 1
Kyzyltash
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
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