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Maykop vs Nart Cherkessk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maykop play Nart Cherkessk in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maykop averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. Nart Cherkessk averaged 1.32 goals scored and 0.68 conceded. In past meetings, Maykop won 1, Nart Cherkessk won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Maykop and 0.75 for Nart Cherkessk. This points to a Nart Cherkessk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maykop
16%
Draws
44%
Nart Cherkessk
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Nart Cherkessk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Maykop picked up more points recently compared to Nart Cherkessk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Maykop Clean Sheet 27%
Nart Cherkessk Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maykop Nart Cherkessk
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.42 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs Nart Cherkessk
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs Nart Cherkessk
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Maykop
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Maykop vs Nart Cherkessk
1:3
May 31, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Nart Cherkessk vs Maykop
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maykop Compare

Top Goalscorer Blagoz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koblev Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Nart Cherkessk Compare

Top Goalscorer Mashezov R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maykop 41 / 100
Nart Cherkessk 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maykop Nart Cherkessk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nart Cherkessk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.2%
2.56
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maykop attacking → ← attacking Nart Cherkessk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maykop scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Nart Cherkessk let in goals in 55% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Maykop went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nart Cherkessk lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 57
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88